Catania vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
45.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
LIV
2 - 1
CAT
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAT
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
CAT
3 - 1
TER
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
VNZ
2 - 1
CAT
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAR
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CAG
1 - 0
BAR
43%
27%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 0
CAG
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
VIC
4 - 2
CAG
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
CAG
1 - 0
SAM
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ANC
2 - 1
CAG
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |