Catania vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
32.6%
Draw
0-0
16.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.6%
31.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
CAT
0 - 0
SPA
43%
31%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
ATL
3 - 1
CAT
62%
25%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
CAT
3 - 2
NOV
52%
31%
17%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
SSS
0 - 0
CAT
50%
31%
19%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 1
PAL
46%
31%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
CAG
2 - 0
AVE
66%
23%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
COM
0 - 0
CAG
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAL
64%
24%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAG
48%
30%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
CAG
0 - 2
LEC
55%
26%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -2 |