Catania vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAT
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAT
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1965 |
CAT
3 - 2
BRE
64%
19%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
CAT
1 - 1
BOL
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
USF
3 - 0
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
CAG
3 - 0
SPA
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
CAG
0 - 1
INT
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1965 |
CAG
0 - 1
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
ACM
2 - 2
CAG
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
CAG
1 - 0
BRE
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |