Catania vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 2
PAR
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
ASS
2 - 0
CAT
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
CAT
0 - 0
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
COM
0 - 1
CAG
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
CAG
2 - 2
SSS
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
ACP
1 - 0
CAG
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
CAG
0 - 1
VNZ
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
CAG
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |