Catania vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
15.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
30.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
TER
1 - 1
CAT
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 0
MOD
50%
30%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
3 - 0
CAT
53%
29%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 0
AVE
45%
31%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
ASC
4 - 2
CAT
61%
27%
12%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 4
VAR
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 0
BRE
53%
29%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 1
AVE
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 0
TAR
61%
25%
14%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 0
BRE
46%
30%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |