Catania vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
26.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1976 |
PIA
0 - 1
CAT
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
CAT
2 - 1
REG
54%
29%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
SPA
2 - 0
CAT
64%
25%
12%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
VIC
38%
32%
30%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
63%
26%
11%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1976 |
REG
0 - 1
BRE
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
BRE
2 - 1
TER
52%
28%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 2
MOD
65%
23%
12%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRE
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
ATL
1 - 1
BRE
46%
31%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |