Catania vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
16.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.9%
22.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
REG
0 - 1
CAT
37%
33%
30%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
CAT
0 - 1
TOR
21%
26%
54%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
VIC
1 - 1
CAT
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
BRE
3 - 1
CAT
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
CAT
0 - 1
REG
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
BRE
0 - 1
CES
61%
26%
14%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
BRE
3 - 2
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
TOR
0 - 0
BRE
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
BRE
3 - 1
CAT
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
VIC
3 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |