Catania vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
CAT
0 - 0
CAG
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAT
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAT
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
CAT
1 - 1
SSS
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
CAT
1 - 1
LEC
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1959 |
ASS
4 - 2
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
BRE
2 - 0
TAR
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
BRE
1 - 2
ATL
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
ACP
1 - 1
BRE
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
BRE
0 - 0
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |