Catania vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 1
ASS
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
COM
3 - 1
CAT
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 0
SSS
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
BRE
4 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
TRI
0 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 1
VNZ
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
ACP
2 - 0
BRE
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
CAG
4 - 0
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |