Catania vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
CAT
0 - 0
SSS
71%
17%
11%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAT
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 1
CAG
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
MES
1 - 3
CAT
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 0
TAR
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
MES
0 - 1
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
BRE
2 - 0
MOD
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1957 |
NOV
4 - 0
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
SSS
2 - 1
BRE
45%
25%
31%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |