Catania vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 1
VER
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAT
71%
17%
13%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
MOD
1 - 1
CAT
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 1
VIC
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
CAT
1 - 0
TRE
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
SIR
1 - 1
BRE
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
BRE
0 - 0
ACM
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
ASS
0 - 1
BRE
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
BRE
3 - 1
SAL
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
BRE
1 - 0
ASL
44%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |