Catania vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 1
SPA
57%
20%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
VER
1 - 2
CAT
77%
13%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
FAN
2 - 0
CAT
48%
23%
29%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
CAT
0 - 0
UNI
64%
18%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 1
TAR
70%
16%
14%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
BRE
5 - 0
ACP
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
LIV
5 - 0
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
BRE
3 - 1
UDI
46%
22%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
USA
0 - 0
BRE
54%
22%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
BRE
5 - 3
EMP
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |