Catania vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
LCR
1 - 2
CAT
12%
25%
63%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 0
USF
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
13%
23%
64%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 1
AKR
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
JUS
2 - 1
CAT
22%
26%
53%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 0
NUO
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ISC
0 - 0
BEN
17%
25%
58%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
JUS
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
PAG
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
4 - 1
ASM
66%
22%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |