Catania vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
CAT
0 - 1
ANC
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CAT
1 - 1
EMP
27%
27%
47%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
SAL
3 - 0
CAT
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CAT
2 - 1
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
CAT
2 - 1
NOC
58%
26%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2001 |
CAT
1 - 1
BEN
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
BEN
3 - 1
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
NOC
0 - 2
BEN
48%
27%
25%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
BEN
2 - 3
CAT
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
ASC
2 - 2
BEN
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |