Catania vs Atlético de Piombino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
CAT
4 - 0
USA
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 1
CAT
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAT
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
CAT
3 - 1
CAG
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
CAT
0 - 1
FAN
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético de Piombino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
MES
0 - 0
ATP
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
ATP
0 - 0
ASS
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
PAV
1 - 1
ATP
64%
20%
17%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
ATP
1 - 1
VER
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
ACM
2 - 1
ATP
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |