Catania vs Atlético de Piombino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
ASS
3 - 0
CAT
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
CAT
0 - 0
ASL
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 1
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAT
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
SAL
0 - 0
CAT
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético de Piombino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
FAN
2 - 1
ATP
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
ATP
0 - 1
TRE
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
CAG
1 - 1
ATP
75%
15%
10%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
ATP
0 - 0
ACM
58%
22%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
MOD
1 - 0
ATP
54%
23%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |