Catania vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
25.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
CAT
1 - 3
LAZ
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAT
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
ACM
2 - 0
CAT
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
CAT
1 - 1
PES
45%
30%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAT
61%
25%
14%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ATL
3 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
ACM
1 - 1
ATL
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
ATL
2 - 1
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
PIA
1 - 2
ATL
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
ATL
3 - 0
BRI
59%
28%
13%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |