Catania vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
+2
10.2%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.5%
34.5%
Draw
0-0
19.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
34.5%
27%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1973 |
AVE
1 - 0
CAT
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
ASC
2 - 1
CAT
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 1
BRI
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAT
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
CAT
0 - 0
COM
52%
30%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
ATL
0 - 0
FCC
56%
28%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1973 |
INT
2 - 0
ATL
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
PRG
0 - 0
ATL
31%
37%
33%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
ATL
1 - 0
BRE
58%
27%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
PAL
0 - 0
ATL
40%
34%
27%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |