Catania vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAT
47%
29%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
TER
1 - 1
CAT
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
CAT
2 - 1
MAN
40%
32%
28%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
CAT
2 - 2
FCC
48%
30%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
COM
0 - 2
CAT
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 0
TER
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
ATL
1 - 1
LIV
72%
20%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
TAR
2 - 2
ATL
31%
30%
39%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
ATL
4 - 0
PIA
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
REG
2 - 2
ATL
41%
30%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |