Catania vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
CAT
3 - 0
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
CAG
3 - 1
CAT
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
CAT
1 - 0
ROM
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
CAT
2 - 3
SAM
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
ATL
2 - 0
SPA
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
SAM
2 - 0
ATL
48%
29%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
BOL
3 - 0
ATL
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
ATL
1 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
ATL
1 - 1
VIC
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |