Catania vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
TRE
3 - 2
CAT
63%
19%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
VNZ
2 - 1
CAT
64%
19%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
CAT
3 - 0
REG
52%
22%
27%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
CAT
3 - 1
SIR
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 0
FAN
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
SPE
3 - 0
UNI
46%
23%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
SPE
1 - 0
USC
68%
17%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
BRE
1 - 0
SPE
64%
19%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
SPE
1 - 1
MOD
50%
23%
28%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
SPE
1 - 0
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |