Catania vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
PIS
1 - 2
CAT
64%
19%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
REG
0 - 1
CAT
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 1
SIR
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
CAT
2 - 1
USC
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
BRE
3 - 0
CAT
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
SIR
0 - 4
SPE
54%
21%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
SPE
3 - 1
PIS
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
SPE
0 - 2
NAP
38%
24%
38%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
REG
1 - 0
SPE
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
SPE
0 - 0
MOD
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |