Catania vs Canicattì analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
88
1º
1º
1º
45
6º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
88 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CIT
0 - 0
CAT
7%
17%
76%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAT
3 - 2
CSA
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 4
CAT
10%
20%
71%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
CAT
2 - 0
LOC
86%
11%
3%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAT
8%
18%
74%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Canicattì
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 2
USV
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LIC
0 - 1
CAN
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 1
LUC
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
RAG
0 - 0
CAN
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
TRA
14%
20%
66%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |