Catania vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
UDI
0 - 1
CAT
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAT
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CAT
0 - 2
ROM
18%
24%
58%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
LIV
4 - 1
CAT
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CAT
1 - 4
REG
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ASC
2 - 3
REG
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
ASC
2 - 5
ACM
15%
25%
61%
|
70 | 93 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ASC
2 - 2
LAZ
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
FIO
4 - 0
ASC
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
EMP
4 - 1
ASC
61%
24%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |