Catania vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
CES
2 - 1
CAT
61%
25%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
CAT
0 - 0
CAG
46%
30%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAT
59%
27%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAR
40%
33%
28%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
ARZ
0 - 0
CAT
54%
29%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1987 |
ASC
1 - 1
NAP
32%
30%
38%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
BRE
1 - 2
ASC
47%
29%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
ASC
1 - 0
INT
28%
30%
42%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
ROM
1 - 1
ASC
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
ASC
0 - 1
SAM
35%
30%
36%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |