Catania vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAT
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
INT
6 - 0
CAT
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
CAT
2 - 2
ROM
18%
29%
53%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
ASC
2 - 1
CAT
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
CAT
1 - 2
GEN
39%
31%
30%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
VIR
0 - 1
ASC
25%
23%
52%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
ASC
0 - 1
SAM
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ASC
43%
29%
29%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
ASC
2 - 1
CAT
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
ACM
0 - 0
ASC
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |