Catania vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
23.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
CES
1 - 1
CAT
61%
25%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
CAT
1 - 1
SSS
54%
29%
18%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
PRG
2 - 2
CAT
48%
31%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
CAT
1 - 0
VIR
68%
18%
15%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
CAT
2 - 3
VER
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 2
CAM
57%
26%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 0
VAR
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 1
GEN
43%
30%
28%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
PAD
0 - 0
VAR
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 2
LAZ
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |