Catania vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
35.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
CAT
1 - 4
TOR
17%
24%
60%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
VER
0 - 0
CAT
76%
16%
9%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1975 |
CAT
1 - 0
NOV
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
CAG
0 - 0
CAT
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
CAT
1 - 2
TER
33%
34%
32%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
AVE
3 - 0
VAR
45%
23%
32%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASC
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 0
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 0
BRE
69%
19%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 2
NAP
32%
32%
36%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |