Catania vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
PAL
3 - 1
CAT
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 0
UDI
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SAM
0 - 0
CAT
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CAT
0 - 0
FIO
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
CAT
4 - 3
VAR
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 1
PAR
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 0
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 3
ACM
21%
26%
53%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 2
UDI
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
3 - 1
TOR
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |