Catania vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
21.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
29.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
15.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
27.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 0
CAT
60%
26%
14%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 1
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
TER
1 - 0
CAT
57%
27%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 0
VAR
40%
32%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 0
TAR
55%
28%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
BAR
0 - 0
VAR
33%
32%
35%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 0
BAR
78%
16%
6%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
BAR
0 - 2
ATL
36%
34%
30%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
PAL
1 - 0
BAR
62%
26%
12%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
BAR
1 - 0
BRE
45%
31%
24%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |