Catania vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
PAL
3 - 3
CAT
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
CAT
2 - 0
MES
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
LIV
1 - 1
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
SAL
0 - 0
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
CAT
1 - 0
CAG
56%
23%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 1
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAG
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
BAR
1 - 1
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
COM
2 - 0
BAR
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
BAR
3 - 1
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |