Catania vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAT
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 0
FIA
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
2 - 3
ASC
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 1
JUS
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
ANC
6 - 1
LOD
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 0
ANC
40%
27%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
ANC
1 - 1
ASC
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 1
ANC
13%
22%
65%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
ANC
1 - 0
AVE
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |