Catania vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
19.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
29%
16.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
SPA
2 - 0
CAT
64%
25%
12%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
VIC
38%
32%
30%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
63%
26%
11%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
TER
0 - 1
CAT
71%
21%
8%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
CAT
1 - 0
TAR
42%
32%
27%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
REG
1 - 1
ATL
52%
28%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
USF
1 - 0
REG
67%
23%
10%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
REG
0 - 0
MOD
58%
25%
18%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
NOV
3 - 0
REG
64%
24%
12%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
REG
2 - 3
PAL
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |