Catania vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
32.3%
Draw
0-0
17.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
32.3%
22.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAR
52%
30%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
ARZ
2 - 0
CAT
53%
30%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
CAT
40%
34%
26%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 1
BAR
60%
28%
13%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 0
CAT
60%
26%
14%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
PAL
2 - 2
REG
56%
28%
15%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
REG
1 - 1
TER
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
BRE
2 - 1
REG
55%
28%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
REG
2 - 0
BRI
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |