Catania vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
SAM
2 - 0
CAT
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 3
CAT
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
CAT
2 - 0
VER
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
CAT
1 - 0
ARZ
70%
20%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
SAL
3 - 0
CAT
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
REG
0 - 0
VER
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
USA
1 - 1
REG
51%
28%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
REG
0 - 0
NOV
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
REG
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
POT
1 - 0
REG
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |