Catania vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SIR
3 - 1
CAT
51%
22%
28%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
USC
1 - 1
CAT
53%
22%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
CAT
1 - 1
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 1
SPA
57%
20%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
VER
1 - 2
CAT
77%
13%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
REG
1 - 0
SPA
72%
15%
13%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SPE
1 - 0
REG
47%
22%
31%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
FAN
2 - 1
REG
36%
23%
41%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
REG
1 - 1
UNI
78%
13%
9%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
REG
0 - 0
MOD
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |