Catania vs Pro Sesto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1950 |
UDI
2 - 0
CAT
77%
13%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
SAL
2 - 2
CAT
59%
20%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
CAT
3 - 0
MOD
38%
26%
37%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 2
EMP
59%
20%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
CAT
0 - 0
SPE
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Sesto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1950 |
PRO
0 - 2
UNI
26%
26%
47%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
PRO
0 - 1
SPE
27%
26%
46%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
UDI
5 - 0
PRO
84%
10%
6%
|
34 | 74 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
PRO
1 - 2
REG
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
ACP
4 - 1
PRO
84%
10%
6%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |