Catania vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
11.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
VIC
3 - 2
CAT
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
PRO
0 - 1
CAT
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
CAT
1 - 1
UDI
37%
24%
39%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
CAT
1 - 0
SAL
52%
23%
26%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
MOD
2 - 1
CAT
67%
19%
15%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
ACP
1 - 2
SPE
44%
23%
34%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
SAL
1 - 0
ACP
76%
14%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
ACP
2 - 2
FAN
64%
18%
18%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
UNI
5 - 1
ACP
74%
15%
12%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
PIS
5 - 2
ACP
74%
14%
12%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |