Catania vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1954 |
VER
1 - 0
CAT
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
TRE
3 - 2
CAT
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 2
CAT
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
CAT
1 - 3
MES
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
BRE
0 - 2
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1954 |
MES
1 - 0
PAV
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
PAV
2 - 1
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAV
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
PAV
0 - 1
ACM
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAV
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |