Catania vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
19.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
17%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
USF
1 - 0
CAT
61%
25%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAT
40%
33%
27%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
CAT
1 - 0
NOV
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
REG
0 - 0
CAT
56%
27%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
CAT
1 - 0
COM
43%
32%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
ASS
1 - 0
TAR
48%
31%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
VAR
1 - 0
ASS
63%
24%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
ASS
1 - 1
ARZ
41%
31%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
COM
2 - 0
ASS
62%
25%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
ASS
0 - 0
BRE
41%
33%
26%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |