Catania vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
28.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
REG
0 - 1
CAT
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
BRE
3 - 0
CAT
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
CAT
2 - 0
PAD
53%
28%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAT
46%
30%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
CAT
0 - 1
LAZ
41%
32%
27%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
USF
1 - 1
ASS
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
ASS
0 - 0
GEN
49%
28%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASS
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASS
42%
29%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
ASS
1 - 0
TER
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |