Catania vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
TAR
1 - 0
CAT
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
CAT
0 - 0
NOV
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
ACP
0 - 2
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
COM
3 - 1
CAT
54%
24%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
CAT
0 - 0
ATL
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASS
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
ASS
1 - 0
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
VIG
1 - 0
ASS
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
ASS
1 - 1
TAR
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
REG
3 - 0
ASS
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |