Catania vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
COM
3 - 1
CAT
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 0
SSS
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
MES
0 - 2
CAT
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
MES
1 - 1
ASS
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
ASS
1 - 0
NOV
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
TRI
4 - 1
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
ASS
1 - 1
TAR
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
VNZ
1 - 0
ASS
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |