Catania vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1960 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAT
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
CAT
3 - 1
NOV
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
TAR
2 - 3
CAT
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
CAT
2 - 2
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
CAT
1 - 1
MOD
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 0
TRI
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
VNZ
0 - 1
ACM
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
PAR
3 - 1
ACM
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 4
VER
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
ACM
0 - 0
TOR
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |