Catania vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
NOV
3 - 0
CAT
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAG
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 2
PAR
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 0
MOD
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
CAG
2 - 0
ACM
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
ACM
4 - 1
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
ACM
2 - 1
NOV
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
TAR
0 - 1
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |