Catania vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1953 |
PAD
0 - 2
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAG
43%
23%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
FAN
0 - 0
CAT
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
SIR
1 - 2
CAT
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 0
ATP
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1953 |
ACM
1 - 4
MOD
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
ACM
1 - 0
PAD
58%
22%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
ASL
1 - 1
ACM
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
CAG
2 - 0
ACM
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ACM
1 - 1
ASS
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |