Catania vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
CAT
0 - 2
INT
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
VNZ
2 - 2
CAT
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
LEC
3 - 1
CAT
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
CAT
2 - 0
UDI
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
CAT
0 - 1
TOR
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
MAN
2 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ACM
1 - 0
MAN
85%
10%
5%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
PAL
1 - 1
MAN
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
MAN
3 - 1
ATL
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
BOL
3 - 0
MAN
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |