Catania vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
CAT
2 - 2
USA
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
VNZ
3 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ACM
1 - 4
CAT
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
CAT
1 - 2
BAR
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
PAL
3 - 3
CAT
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
MES
1 - 0
UNI
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
UNI
0 - 0
COM
49%
25%
27%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
BRE
1 - 0
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
BRE
1 - 0
UNI
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
UNI
2 - 3
CAG
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |