Catania vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
VNZ
1 - 1
CAT
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
CAT
0 - 1
MOD
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAT
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
CAT
1 - 3
EMP
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
CAT
3 - 0
TRE
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
CES
2 - 0
TER
35%
26%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
ABN
1 - 1
CES
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
CES
1 - 2
ASC
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
GEN
3 - 3
CES
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2005 |
MOD
4 - 0
CES
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |