Catania vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1970 |
CAT
2 - 0
REG
52%
30%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
USF
0 - 0
CAT
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
ASS
2 - 0
CAT
51%
28%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
CAT
1 - 0
PRG
51%
30%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
CAT
2 - 0
MOD
53%
29%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1970 |
CES
1 - 2
PIS
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
CES
1 - 1
MAN
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
ATL
0 - 0
CES
63%
24%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
PIA
1 - 1
CES
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
CES
0 - 1
GEN
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |